MLB Baseball Betting
LOS ANGELES DODGERS (9-10) at NEW YORK METS (9-9) Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: New York -153 & 7 under -125
The Dodgers took the series opener 7-2 on Tuesday night, though they shouldnt expect to get that much offense in game two. The 24-year-old Harvey (4-0, 0.93 ERA) has shown why was so highly regarded as a prospect in the early going of this season. Veteran left-hander Ted Lilly takes the mound for the Dodgers, making his season debut after dealing with a shoulder injury that ended his 2012 season prematurely. Although the Mets own a slight 8-7 advantage against the Dodgers over the past three years, the Dodgers are now 5-2 at Citi Field over that span.
Lilly is 2-2 (team 3-3) with a 3.72 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in six career starts against the Mets. Last season, he pitched in just eight games, compiling a strong 3.14 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 5-1 record. Hes been called up quickly after injuries forced a need as he was struggling in the minors. But in three minor-league starts this year, he went 0-3 with a 6.88 ERA. If he struggles and cant go deep, the Dodgers bullpen that has a 3.40 ERA and 1.28 WHIP this year will be forced to play a big role. An encouraging stat for Lillys chances: the Mets are 2-5 against lefty starters this year.
Harvey has been nearly unhittable this season, even taking a no-hitter into the seventh inning a couple of starts ago. Hes given up just 10 hits and nine walks in 29 innings (0.66 WHIP), while racking up 32 K's and holding opponents to a mere .108 BA against him. In each of his four starts, hes gone at least seven innings. Thats good news for a Mets bullpen that has a 5.46 ERA this season and gave up six runs on Tuesday. New York relievers had to pitch 6.2 innings Tuesday, filling in after starter Jon Niese got injured. Harvey has never started against the Dodgers in his young career, but he has been masterful in six career starts at Citi Field, posting a 1.42 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and 46 K's in 38 innings.
The Mets are fourth in the majors with 101 runs this season, ranking eighth in slugging (.423) and ninth in on-base percentage (.328). Leading that effort has been catcher John Buck, who is mashing with seven home runs and 22 RBI already. The Mets player with the best track record against Lilly is Marlon Byrd, who has a .471 BA in 17 career at-bats against the southpaw with a home run and 8 RBI. The Los Angeles offense has the second-fewest runs in MLB with just 61, despite posting a .344 OBP, which ranks fourth in the majors. Leading all departments of their offense is first baseman Adrian Gonzalez, who is hitting .377 with two home runs and 14 RBI.
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American League games highlight Tuesday MLB betting2010-09-14
Two marquees MLB match-ups highlight Sportsbook.com’s baseball betting board tonight. The Yankees and Rays continue their three-game series after giving us a taste of the postseason in Monday night’s 1-0 Tampa Bay win. With the victory, the Rays are now in first place in the East. Meanwhile, the White Sox have an opportunity to cut into Minnesota’s six-game Central lead as the two teams open a three-game set on Chicago’s South Side.
Yankees @ Rays
Sportsbook.com Line: Tampa Bay -148, New York +138 Total: 9
The Yankees hope their time as a second-place team will be short-lived as they meet the Rays in the middle game of their three-game series at the Trop. Ivan Nova (1-0, 2.92 ERA) makes just his fifth start of the season but has been a welcome addition to the Yankee rotation. Even though he has only one win, Nova has yet to give up more than three runs in any start and the Yankees are 3-1 in his four starts this year.
Tampa Bay counters with Matt Garza (14-8, 3.68 ERA). Garza has been sensational at home this year, going 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA in 13 games. He’s coming off a tough outing in Boston that saw him give up six runs on four Red Sox home runs. Garza had won his previous three decisions and the Rays had won his previous four starts. However, the Yankees aren’t exactly the team he wants to see. While Garza totes a respectable 3.62 ERA in nine starts against New York, Tampa Bay is just 1-8 in those games, including seven straight losses.
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record, in September games.
(136-113 over the last 5 seasons.) (54.6%, +68 units. Rating = 3*).
Twins @ White Sox
Sportsbook.com Line: Chicago -110, Minnesota EVEN Total: 7.5
Time is quickly running out for the White Sox to make a final playoff push. If they want to see October, they’ll have to make up six games on the Twins over the final three weeks of the season. Step one would be a win Tuesday night when John Danks (13-10, 3.54 ERA) takes the mound opposite Francisco Liriano (13-7, 3.24 ERA).
Danks took the loss last time out against Detroit, giving up five runs (two earned) on eight hits in six innings. The southpaw has struggled lately going 1-2 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.73 WHIP over his last three starts. In 18 career starts against the Twins, Danks is 6-6 with an ERA of 5.05.
On the other hand, Liriano has been sensational recently, going 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA over his last three starts. He hasn’t lost since July 9 and has won his last seven decisions. The Twins have had tremendous success with Liriano on the hill, winning his last five starts and nine of his last 10. He’s encountered some trouble with the White Sox, however. In seven career starts against Chicago, Liriano is just 2-3 with a 6.23 ERA.
Play Against - Road teams (MINNESOTA) - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
(78-35 over the last 5 seasons.) (69%, +40.1 units. Rating = 3*).
To view more key MLB betting trends and to wager on the games, head over to Sportsbook.com now.
MLB: Top MLB Holiday Weekend Power Trends 7/2-7/42010-07-02
The 4th of July holiday weekend is upon us and so is another full schedule of baseball action as we cruise towards the all-star break in just a week-and-a-half. Many experts believe this is a key point in the baseball season, as teams hope to set the tone for the unofficial second half of the season by making a push before the break. Some teams like the Reds, Brewers, White Sox, and Rangers are surging now, while others like the Jays and Giants are skidding. This weekend’s action will continue the pre-break patterns. Let’s take a look at what’s on tap for this weekend and reveal our list of Top StatFox Power Trends that you’ll want to consider in your weekend wagering.
The interesting thing about the National League slate for this weekend is that only two teams with winning records are paired up, meaning the chasers have a chance to gain key ground but they need to play well. In Chicago, the Cubs may be reaching a point of desperation, and nothing shy of taking the final three games of a 4-game set with the Central-leading Reds will suffice. Cincinnati already won the series opener on Thursday in extra innings, putting the Cubs 10-1/2 games out. In that same division, the Brewers have a chance to make up some ground too, but unlike the Cubs, they got off to a good start in their own 4-game set with the Cardinals by winning 4-1 on Thursday. Milwaukee is playing some of its best baseball of the year, 8-3 in its L11 games, outscoring opponents 55-37 in that span. The Brewers have actually played very well in St. Louis too, going 15-7 over the last three seasons.
In the N.L. East, division leading Atlanta is at home against the Marlins. That is certainly good news for the Braves, who own the league’s best home mark at 28-9. They are currently two games up on New York who is in Washington this weekend and four games ahead of Philadelphia, who visits Pittsburgh. Both the Mets and Phillies got off to slow starts in their 4-game sets, losing the series openers. Out West, reeling San Francisco will be in Colorado hoping to snap a skid of 1-8 in its L9 games. Both teams are looking up at San Diego (home vs. Houston this weekend) and Los Angeles (at Arizona) in the standings.
In the American League, there are two key series’ to keep an eye on, both matching teams right in the thick of the playoff hunt. In Texas, the surging Sox come to town, although since winning 15 of 16 games entering Monday’s play, they have since lost three of four. The Rangers have also played very well of late, going 21-7 since the beginning of June to take over the West Division. In Minnesota, two teams that are struggling to recapture some earlier season magic are going head-to-head, as the Twins host the Rays. Tampa Bay won the series opener on Thursday night but is just 7-12 since June 10th, having slipped into third place in the East. The Twins have won just three of their last 10 games and have allowed both the Tigers and White Sox to creep to within a couple games of the Central lead.
The other current division leader in the Junior Circuit is New York, and the Yankees will host the sliding Jays this weekend. Toronto has lost nine of its L11 games and could be close to becoming a “seller” by the July 31 trade deadline. The Yankees have struggled with their pitching a bit of late, having allowed 5.6 runs per game in their L9. Boston is just 1-1/2 games back of New York right now and has what figures to be the easiest series on paper this weekend, hosting the Orioles, owners of the league’s worst record at 24-54. Baltimore has only won eight of 37 games on the road this season.
Now, let’s get to those Top StatFox Power Trends we promised earlier….
CINCINNATI at CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-31 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.4, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 1*)
PHILADELPHIA at PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 21-55 (-31.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PITTSBURGH 2.9, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 3*)
NY METS at WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 45-25 UNDER (+16.6 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. The average score was WASHINGTON 4.0, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
FLORIDA at ATLANTA
FLORIDA is 38-22 (+18.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
SAN FRANCISCO at COLORADO
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-16 (-10.4 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 3.0, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 1*)
MILWAUKEE at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 47-25 UNDER (+18.7 Units) vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ST LOUIS 4.4, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
LA DODGERS at ARIZONA
LA DODGERS are 22-11 OVER (+10.8 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA DODGERS 5.7, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
HOUSTON at SAN DIEGO
HOUSTON is 9-2 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. The average score was HOUSTON 5.5, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 3*)
TORONTO at NY YANKEES
TORONTO is 35-23 OVER (+11.0 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TORONTO 4.7, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 0*)
SEATTLE at DETROIT
SEATTLE is 11-20 (-10.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was SEATTLE 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
OAKLAND at CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 16-32 (-17.9 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CLEVELAND 4.1, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)
BALTIMORE at BOSTON
BALTIMORE is 3-18 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The average score was BALTIMORE 2.9, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 1*)
CHI WHITE SOX at TEXAS
TEXAS is 45-23 (+18.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. The average score was TEXAS 5.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 2*)
TAMPA BAY at MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 40-18 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 5.4, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 0*)
KANSAS CITY at LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 65-35 (+21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA ANGELS 5.4, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
MLB: Big battle in the Bronx
There’s little doubt that the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees have established themselves as the top teams in the AL East, the division New York reclaimed last year after the Rays won it in 2008. They also appear to be the two best clubs in baseball. Tampa Bay can bolster its early lead on the Yankees and extend its latest winning streak to five on Wednesday night, but to do so the Rays will need to end a string of six straight losses in the Bronx. They’ll also need to overcome an underdog line of +145 according to Sportsbook.com.
New York (25-14, +5.6 units) has begun defense of its World Series title in strong fashion only to be overshadowed by the Rays, who are the only team in the majors with a better record.
Tampa Bay (28-11, +10.4) dropped two of three to the Yankees at home from April 9-11, but manager Joe Maddon’s team - already with a three-game lead - has a chance to make a statement in New York before beginning interleague play. “It’s going to be fun going up there, as it should be,” said Maddon, whose team has gone 15-4 (+10.5) on the road in 2010 but was outscored 31-12 while losing its last six in the Bronx last season.
“You want to be on the top. You want to play the best teams. You want to play in the best division. I think it’s great,” Maddon added. “Our guys will be ready for it. Our game’s a pretty good game right now. We haven’t hit to our potential yet, but we’ve been doing everything else.”
Brilliant pitching has been the foundation of the majors’ best start since Boston was 28-11 in 2002. David Price and four relievers held Cleveland to six hits in a 6-2 win Tuesday, lowering Tampa Bay’s team ERA to 2.69 - the best in the AL and they are 37-16 after allowing two runs or less.
Wade Davis (3-3, 3.38 ERA, 1.325 WHIP) has played a role, although the rookie will be trying to avoid a third straight loss. He has held Oakland and Seattle to three runs each in his last two starts, but has gotten minimal run support in that stretch. For those interested in sports betting, Tampa Bay is just is 5-19 in road games vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs per contest over the last two seasons.
Davis has yet to pitch at Yankee Stadium, but New York has already beaten him twice in St. Petersburg, with Davis posting a 5.73 ERA in the two outings. “I just want us to play the same kind of game we’ve been playing to this point,” Maddon said. “I don’t like to say: `We’re playing the Yankees, you’ve got to play a better game.’”
The Rays, however, have had major problems figuring out the Yankees’ scheduled starter. A.J. Burnett has won four straight starts against Tampa Bay and is 6-0 with a 1.76 ERA in his last seven. He held the Rays to two runs in seven innings of a 7-3 win April 11. Burnett (4-1, 3.31, 1.355) did not factor in the decision Friday night against Minnesota, although he worked 6 2/3 innings and allowed three runs - two earned - in an 8-4 win.
The banged-up Yankees will try to regroup quickly after squandering a 5-0 lead in Tuesday’s 7-6 home loss to Boston, with Mariano Rivera allowing a go-ahead hit for the second straight outing. New York fell to 13-4 (+6.4) at Yankee Stadium and will now try to avoid its first back-to-back losses at home and is 73-44 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better since 2008.
Sportsbook.com has New York as -155 money line favorites with total at Ov9. The Yankees are 38-12 in the Bronx playing against a team with a winning record and 41-11 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. They are 13-4 OVER when their bullpen is struggling with ERA over 7.00 in the last five games.
Tampa Bay has been terrific in the visitor’s role and is 12-2 away from home after a win this season. The biggest concern is putting together enough hits and they are 6-17 in road outings after batting .250 or worse over a 20-game span. Since last year the Rays are 11-2 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +150.
This is the ESPN Wednesday night contest which has a 7:05 Eastern start and New York has won 12 of previous 18 against Tampa Bay in the pinstripes.
The StatFox Power Line shows New York should only be priced at -105.